Time Varying Dimension Models

Time Varying Dimension Models

Time varying parameter (TVP) models have enjoyed an increasing popularity in empirical macroeconomics. However, TVP models are parameter-rich and risk over-…tting unless the dimension of the model is small. Motivated by this worry, this paper proposes several Time Varying dimension (TVD) models where the dimension of the model can change over time, allowing for the model to automatically choose...

Modeling and Forecasting Iranian Inflation with Time Varying BVAR Models

This paper investigates the forecasting performance of different time-varying BVAR models for Iranian inflation. Forecast accuracy of a BVAR model with Litterman’s prior compared with a time-varying BVAR model (a version introduced by Doan et al., 1984); and a modified time-varying BVAR model, where the autoregressive coefficients are held constant and only the deterministic components are allo...

modeling and forecasting iranian inflation with time varying bvar models

this paper investigates the forecasting performance of different time-varying bvar models for iranian inflation. forecast accuracy of a bvar model with litterman’s prior compared with a time-varying bvar model (a version introduced by doan et al., 1984); and a modified time-varying bvar model, where the autoregressive coefficients are held constant and only the deterministic components are allo...

The time dimension of computation models

Inference on stochastic time-varying coefficient models

Recently there has been considerable work on stochastic time-varying coefficient models as vehicles for modelling structural change in the macroeconomy with a focus on the estimation of the unobserved sample path of time series of coefficient processes. The dominant estimation methods, in this context, are various filters, such as the Kalman filter, that are applicable when the models are cast ...